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❓:Dr. Elena Ramirez, a renowned software engineering professor specializing in agile methodologies and process improvement, is conducting a study on the efficiency of different agile teams. She introduces a metric, the "Agility Efficiency Index" (AEI), which is a function of the number of completed story points (S), the number of iterations (I), and the process improvement factor (P). The AEI is defined as follows:[ AEI = frac{S^2}{I cdot e^P} ]1. Given that Team Alpha has completed 120 story points in 5 iterations with a process improvement factor of 1.2, and Team Beta has completed 150 story points in 6 iterations with a process improvement factor of 0.8, compute the AEI for both teams. 2. Dr. Ramirez hypothesizes that an optimal process improvement factor ( P_{opt} ) exists, which maximizes the AEI for a given number of completed story points and iterations. For a team that has completed 200 story points in 8 iterations, find the value of ( P_{opt} ) that maximizes the AEI.
🧠:<think>Alright, so I've got this problem about calculating the Agility Efficiency Index (AEI) for two teams and then figuring out the optimal process improvement factor for another scenario. Let me try to break this down step by step.First, the AEI formula is given as:[ AEI = frac{S^2}{I cdot e^P} ]Where:- ( S ) is the number of completed story points,- ( I ) is the number of iterations,- ( P ) is the process improvement factor.Problem 1: Compute AEI for Team Alpha and Team BetaStarting with Team Alpha:- ( S = 120 )- ( I = 5 )- ( P = 1.2 )Plugging these into the formula:[ AEI_{Alpha} = frac{120^2}{5 cdot e^{1.2}} ]Let me compute each part:1. ( 120^2 = 14400 )2. ( e^{1.2} ) is approximately... Hmm, I remember that ( e^1 ) is about 2.71828, and ( e^{0.2} ) is approximately 1.2214. So, multiplying these together: ( 2.71828 times 1.2214 approx 3.3201 ).3. So, the denominator is ( 5 times 3.3201 = 16.6005 )4. Therefore, ( AEI_{Alpha} = frac{14400}{16.6005} approx 867.54 )Wait, let me double-check the exponent calculation. Maybe I should use a calculator for ( e^{1.2} ). Alternatively, I can use the Taylor series expansion for a more accurate value, but that might take too long. Alternatively, I can recall that ( e^{1.2} ) is approximately 3.3201 as I did before. So, I think that's acceptable.Now, Team Beta:- ( S = 150 )- ( I = 6 )- ( P = 0.8 )Plugging into the formula:[ AEI_{Beta} = frac{150^2}{6 cdot e^{0.8}} ]Calculating each part:1. ( 150^2 = 22500 )2. ( e^{0.8} ) is approximately... Let me think, ( e^{0.6} ) is about 1.8221, and ( e^{0.2} ) is about 1.2214. So, ( e^{0.8} = e^{0.6 + 0.2} = e^{0.6} times e^{0.2} approx 1.8221 times 1.2214 approx 2.2255 ).3. So, the denominator is ( 6 times 2.2255 = 13.353 )4. Therefore, ( AEI_{Beta} = frac{22500}{13.353} approx 1684.93 )Again, I should verify ( e^{0.8} ). Alternatively, I can use a calculator, but since I don't have one, I'll stick with the approximation of 2.2255.So, AEI for Alpha is approximately 867.54 and for Beta is approximately 1684.93.Problem 2: Find ( P_{opt} ) that maximizes AEI for a team with S=200, I=8So, we need to maximize the AEI function with respect to P. The function is:[ AEI(P) = frac{200^2}{8 cdot e^P} = frac{40000}{8 e^P} = frac{5000}{e^P} ]Wait, that simplifies to ( AEI(P) = 5000 e^{-P} ). Hmm, but that seems like a simple exponential decay function. So, as P increases, AEI decreases, and as P decreases, AEI increases. So, to maximize AEI, we need to minimize P.But that can't be right because the problem states that P is a process improvement factor, which likely has some constraints. Maybe P can't be negative? Or perhaps P is bounded in some way.Wait, let me think again. The function is ( AEI = frac{S^2}{I e^P} ). So, for fixed S and I, AEI is inversely proportional to ( e^P ). Therefore, as P increases, AEI decreases, and as P decreases, AEI increases. So, to maximize AEI, we need to set P as low as possible.But in reality, P can't be negative because it's a process improvement factor, which I assume is a non-negative value. So, the minimal P is 0. Therefore, the optimal ( P_{opt} ) is 0.Wait, but that seems too straightforward. Maybe I'm missing something. Let me check the problem statement again.It says, "an optimal process improvement factor ( P_{opt} ) exists, which maximizes the AEI for a given number of completed story points and iterations." So, perhaps there's a constraint on P? Or maybe P is a variable that can be adjusted, but there's a trade-off elsewhere.Alternatively, perhaps the AEI function is more complex, but in this case, it's directly given as ( S^2 / (I e^P) ). So, unless there's another constraint or unless P affects S or I, which it doesn't in this formula, the AEI is purely a function of P in this form.Therefore, to maximize AEI, set P as low as possible. If P can be zero, then that's the optimal. If not, the minimal possible P.But since the problem doesn't specify any constraints on P, I think the answer is P=0.Wait, but let me think again. Maybe I misread the problem. Is AEI a function that could have a maximum at some positive P? Let's see.Wait, if we consider that P might be a factor that could have an impact on S or I in some other way, but in the formula given, it's only in the denominator as ( e^P ). So, unless there's a different relationship, the AEI is maximized when P is minimized.Alternatively, perhaps the process improvement factor P is related to the number of iterations or story points in a way that isn't captured in the formula. But since the formula is given as is, I think we have to work with that.So, given that, the optimal P is 0.Wait, but let me think about calculus. If we take the derivative of AEI with respect to P and set it to zero to find the maximum.Given:[ AEI(P) = frac{S^2}{I e^P} ]Taking the derivative with respect to P:[ frac{d(AEI)}{dP} = frac{S^2}{I} cdot (-e^{-P}) = -frac{S^2}{I} e^{-P} ]Setting the derivative equal to zero:[ -frac{S^2}{I} e^{-P} = 0 ]But ( e^{-P} ) is always positive, and ( S^2 / I ) is positive, so the derivative is always negative. Therefore, the function is decreasing for all P. Hence, the maximum occurs at the minimal P.Therefore, ( P_{opt} ) is the minimal possible value of P. If P can be zero, then that's the optimal. If P has a lower bound greater than zero, then that lower bound is the optimal.But since the problem doesn't specify any constraints on P, I think we have to assume that P can be zero. Therefore, ( P_{opt} = 0 ).Wait, but that seems counterintuitive. If P is a process improvement factor, wouldn't a higher P indicate better processes, which should lead to higher AEI? But according to the formula, higher P decreases AEI. So, perhaps the formula is inversely capturing the effect. Maybe higher P is worse, which is why it's in the denominator.Alternatively, perhaps the formula is supposed to have P in the numerator, but as given, it's in the denominator. So, given the formula, higher P reduces AEI.Therefore, to maximize AEI, set P as low as possible, which is 0.But let me think again. Maybe I made a mistake in interpreting the formula. Let me check:The formula is ( AEI = frac{S^2}{I e^P} ). So, yes, P is in the denominator, so higher P reduces AEI.Therefore, the optimal P is the smallest possible value. If P can be zero, then that's the optimal. If not, the minimal P.But since the problem doesn't specify any constraints, I think the answer is P=0.Wait, but in the first part, both teams have P>0, so maybe P is always positive. But in that case, the optimal P would be the minimal possible positive value, which is approaching zero. But since P is a factor, perhaps it's bounded below by zero.Therefore, the optimal P is 0.Alternatively, perhaps I'm overcomplicating. Let me just proceed with that.So, summarizing:1. AEI for Alpha: ~867.542. AEI for Beta: ~1684.933. Optimal P: 0But let me compute the exact values for AEI using more precise calculations.For Team Alpha:( e^{1.2} ) is approximately 3.3201169227766016So, denominator: 5 * 3.3201169227766016 ≈ 16.600584613883008AEI = 14400 / 16.600584613883008 ≈ 867.54For Team Beta:( e^{0.8} ) is approximately 2.225540928492468Denominator: 6 * 2.225540928492468 ≈ 13.353245570954808AEI = 22500 / 13.353245570954808 ≈ 1684.93So, the approximate values are correct.For the optimal P, since the derivative is always negative, the maximum occurs at P=0.Therefore, the answers are:1. AEI Alpha ≈ 867.54, AEI Beta ≈ 1684.932. ( P_{opt} = 0 )</think>
❓:A local resident of Hixson, who is an avid outdoor enthusiast, frequently shops at Gander Mountain for camping supplies. Suppose they decide to plan a week-long hiking trip in a mountainous region. They need to carry enough supplies to last the entire trip. The hiking trail they chose has several checkpoints where they can restock supplies, but the distances between these checkpoints vary.1. The hiker starts with a backpack that can carry a maximum weight of 20 kg. They plan to carry a mix of food and water. Each kilogram of food provides 4000 calories, while each liter of water weighs 1 kg and is essential for hydration. The hiker needs a minimum of 2500 calories and 2 liters of water per day. Determine the optimal amount of food and water the hiker should carry to maximize their starting supplies, given the weight constraint, and ensure they meet their daily needs for the 7-day trip.2. Given that the distances between the checkpoints are 15 km, 20 km, 10 km, 25 km, 30 km, and 20 km, and the hiker plans to restock at each checkpoint. If the hiker consumes 0.1 liters of water and 200 calories per kilometer hiked, calculate the total weight of food and water the hiker needs to carry initially and at each checkpoint to complete the entire trip without running out of supplies. Assume the hiker can only restock up to the maximum backpack capacity at each checkpoint.
🧠:<think>Alright, so I've got this problem about a hiker planning a week-long trip. They need to figure out how much food and water to carry initially and at each checkpoint. Let me try to break this down step by step.First, the hiker has a backpack that can carry a maximum of 20 kg. They need to carry a mix of food and water. Each kilogram of food provides 4000 calories, and each liter of water weighs 1 kg. The hiker needs at least 2500 calories and 2 liters of water per day. The trip is 7 days long, so they need to meet these daily requirements for each day.Starting with the first part: determining the optimal amount of food and water to carry initially. The goal is to maximize the starting supplies without exceeding the 20 kg limit, while ensuring they meet their daily needs.Let me define some variables:Let F be the kilograms of food carried initially.Let W be the liters of water carried initially (since each liter is 1 kg, W is also the weight in kg).So, the total weight is F + W ≤ 20 kg.Now, the hiker needs 2500 calories per day. Each kg of food provides 4000 calories, so the number of calories from food is 4000F. They need this to be at least 2500 calories per day for 7 days. So:4000F ≥ 2500 * 7Calculating that: 2500 * 7 = 17500 calories.So, 4000F ≥ 17500Dividing both sides by 4000:F ≥ 17500 / 4000F ≥ 4.375 kgSo, they need at least 4.375 kg of food.Similarly, for water, they need 2 liters per day, so for 7 days:2 * 7 = 14 liters.Since each liter is 1 kg, they need at least 14 kg of water.But wait, that's 14 kg of water and 4.375 kg of food, which totals 18.375 kg. That's under the 20 kg limit. So, they could carry more if they want, but the question is to maximize the starting supplies. However, since they can restock at checkpoints, maybe they don't need to carry the full 14 liters initially? Hmm, maybe I need to think about that.Wait, actually, the first part is just about the starting supplies, without considering the checkpoints. So, they need to carry enough for the entire trip, but they can restock at checkpoints. So, maybe they don't need to carry all 14 liters of water initially because they can refill at checkpoints. Similarly, they can restock food as well.But the problem says they need to carry enough supplies to last the entire trip, but they can restock at checkpoints. So, the initial carry should be enough to get to the first checkpoint, and then at each checkpoint, they can restock.Wait, but the problem is a bit ambiguous. Let me re-read it."Suppose they decide to plan a week-long hiking trip in a mountainous region. They need to carry enough supplies to last the entire trip. The hiking trail they chose has several checkpoints where they can restock supplies, but the distances between these checkpoints vary."So, they need to carry enough supplies to last the entire trip, but they can restock at checkpoints. So, does that mean they can carry less initially because they can restock? Or do they need to carry all the supplies for the entire trip? Hmm.I think it's the former: they can restock at checkpoints, so they don't need to carry all supplies for the entire trip initially. They just need to carry enough to get to the first checkpoint, and then at each checkpoint, they can restock.But the problem is asking for the optimal amount to carry initially to maximize their starting supplies, given the weight constraint, and ensure they meet their daily needs for the 7-day trip.Wait, maybe it's better to think of it as they need to carry enough for the entire trip, but they can restock at checkpoints, so they don't have to carry the full 7 days' worth of supplies initially. They can carry less, knowing they can restock.But the problem is a bit unclear. Let me check the exact wording:"Determine the optimal amount of food and water the hiker should carry to maximize their starting supplies, given the weight constraint, and ensure they meet their daily needs for the 7-day trip."So, they need to carry enough to meet their daily needs for the entire trip, but they can restock at checkpoints. So, they don't have to carry all 7 days' worth initially, but they have to plan their restocking so that they can meet their needs each day.But the first part is only about the initial carry, right? Or is it about the total? Hmm.Wait, the first part says: "Determine the optimal amount of food and water the hiker should carry to maximize their starting supplies, given the weight constraint, and ensure they meet their daily needs for the 7-day trip."So, it's about the initial carry, but ensuring that over the 7 days, they can meet their needs, considering they can restock.So, the initial carry should be enough to get to the first checkpoint, and then at each checkpoint, they can restock up to the backpack capacity.But we don't know the distances yet for the first part. The distances are given in part 2. So, maybe part 1 is independent of the checkpoints, just about the initial carry for 7 days, but they can restock, so they don't have to carry all 7 days' worth.Wait, but part 1 is before considering the checkpoints. So, maybe it's just about the initial carry without considering restocking, but the problem says they can restock, so perhaps they don't need to carry all 7 days' worth.But the problem is a bit confusing. Let me try to interpret it as: they need to carry enough supplies to last the entire trip, considering they can restock at checkpoints, but the initial carry should be optimized to maximize the starting supplies (i.e., carry as much as possible without exceeding the backpack limit, while ensuring they can meet their needs for the entire trip with restocking).But without knowing the distances, it's hard to calculate how much they need to carry initially. Maybe part 1 is just about the initial carry without considering restocking, and part 2 is about the restocking.Wait, the problem is divided into two parts. Part 1 is about the initial carry, and part 2 is about the total weight considering restocking.Wait, no, part 2 is about the total weight needed initially and at each checkpoint.Wait, let me read part 2:"Given that the distances between the checkpoints are 15 km, 20 km, 10 km, 25 km, 30 km, and 20 km, and the hiker plans to restock at each checkpoint. If the hiker consumes 0.1 liters of water and 200 calories per kilometer hiked, calculate the total weight of food and water the hiker needs to carry initially and at each checkpoint to complete the entire trip without running out of supplies. Assume the hiker can only restock up to the maximum backpack capacity at each checkpoint."So, part 2 is about the entire trip, considering the distances and restocking. Part 1 is just about the initial carry, without considering restocking, but ensuring they meet their daily needs for the 7-day trip.Wait, but if they can restock, they don't need to carry all 7 days' worth initially. So, maybe part 1 is about the initial carry, assuming they can restock, so they can carry less, but still meet their needs for the entire trip.But without knowing the distances, it's hard to calculate how much they need to carry initially. So, perhaps part 1 is just about the initial carry without considering restocking, i.e., carrying all 7 days' worth, but that would be 14 kg of water and 4.375 kg of food, totaling 18.375 kg, so they can carry an extra 1.625 kg, maybe more food or water.But the problem says "to maximize their starting supplies", so they should carry as much as possible without exceeding the 20 kg limit, while meeting their daily needs.So, if they carry 14 kg of water and 4.375 kg of food, that's 18.375 kg, leaving 1.625 kg. They can use that extra weight to carry more food or water. Since water is essential, maybe they should carry more water, but they already have the minimum required. Alternatively, they could carry more food to have extra calories.But the problem says "to maximize their starting supplies", so maybe they should carry as much as possible, so they can have more flexibility. So, they can carry 14 kg of water and 6 kg of food, which would be 20 kg. Let's check:6 kg of food provides 6*4000 = 24,000 calories. They need 2500*7=17,500 calories, so 24,000 is more than enough. Similarly, 14 kg of water is 14 liters, which is 2 liters per day for 7 days.So, they can carry 6 kg of food and 14 kg of water, totaling 20 kg. That would be optimal because it uses the full backpack capacity while meeting the minimum requirements.But wait, is 6 kg of food necessary? They only need 4.375 kg. So, carrying 6 kg is more than enough, but maybe they can carry more water? But 14 kg is already the minimum required for water. So, perhaps they can carry 14 kg of water and 6 kg of food, which is 20 kg.Alternatively, if they carry more water, they would have to carry less food, but they already have enough food. So, 6 kg of food is more than enough, so carrying 14 kg of water and 6 kg of food is optimal.So, the answer to part 1 would be 6 kg of food and 14 kg of water.But let me double-check:6 kg food = 24,000 calories, which is more than the required 17,500.14 kg water = 14 liters, which is exactly 2 liters per day for 7 days.Total weight: 20 kg.Yes, that seems optimal.Now, moving on to part 2. The distances between checkpoints are 15 km, 20 km, 10 km, 25 km, 30 km, and 20 km. So, there are 6 segments, meaning 7 checkpoints including the start and end.Wait, no, the number of checkpoints is one more than the number of segments. So, if there are 6 distances, there are 7 checkpoints, including the starting point.But the hiker starts at the first checkpoint, then goes to the second, third, etc., up to the seventh.The hiker consumes 0.1 liters of water and 200 calories per kilometer hiked.So, for each segment, they need to calculate the water and food consumed, and then determine how much they need to carry initially and at each checkpoint.The goal is to calculate the total weight of food and water the hiker needs to carry initially and at each checkpoint to complete the entire trip without running out of supplies, with the backpack capacity being 20 kg at each restock.This seems more complex. Let me outline the steps:1. Calculate the total distance: 15 + 20 + 10 + 25 + 30 + 20 = let's see:15 + 20 = 3535 + 10 = 4545 +25=7070+30=100100+20=120 km total.2. For each segment, calculate the water and food needed.But since they can restock at each checkpoint, they don't need to carry all the supplies for the entire trip initially. Instead, they carry enough to get to the next checkpoint, and then restock.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint.Wait, the question is: "calculate the total weight of food and water the hiker needs to carry initially and at each checkpoint to complete the entire trip without running out of supplies."So, it's the sum of all the supplies carried at the start and at each checkpoint.But the hiker can only carry up to 20 kg at each restock.So, the strategy is to carry as much as possible at each checkpoint, but not exceeding 20 kg.But we need to calculate the total weight carried, which would be the initial carry plus the sum of all restocks.But the hiker needs to plan how much to carry at each checkpoint to minimize the total weight carried, but ensuring they don't run out.Alternatively, maybe it's about the total weight carried over the entire trip, considering that at each checkpoint, they can restock up to 20 kg.But the problem is a bit unclear. Let me read it again:"calculate the total weight of food and water the hiker needs to carry initially and at each checkpoint to complete the entire trip without running out of supplies."So, it's the sum of the initial carry and all the restocks. The hiker needs to carry enough at each checkpoint to get to the next one, considering consumption.But the hiker can restock up to 20 kg at each checkpoint, so they can carry as much as needed, but not exceeding 20 kg.But the total weight carried would be the initial 20 kg plus 20 kg at each checkpoint.But that can't be, because the hiker doesn't carry all the restocks at once. They carry the initial, then at each checkpoint, they restock, but the restocks are added to the backpack for the next segment.Wait, no, the hiker starts with an initial backpack, then at each checkpoint, they can restock up to 20 kg, but they have to carry that for the next segment.So, the total weight carried is the initial backpack plus the sum of all restocks, but each restock is carried for the next segment.But the problem is asking for the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint. So, it's the sum of all the supplies carried at each point: initial plus each restock.But the hiker can only carry up to 20 kg at each restock, so they have to plan how much to carry at each checkpoint to minimize the total weight.But maybe it's better to model this as a series of segments, calculating the required supplies for each segment, considering the consumption and the restocking.Let me try to approach it step by step.First, the hiker starts at checkpoint 1 with an initial backpack. They need to carry enough supplies to get to checkpoint 2, which is 15 km away.They consume 0.1 liters per km and 200 calories per km.So, for 15 km:Water consumed: 15 * 0.1 = 1.5 litersCalories consumed: 15 * 200 = 3000 caloriesThey also need to meet their daily needs. Wait, the hiker needs 2500 calories and 2 liters per day, regardless of the distance hiked. So, each day, they need at least 2500 calories and 2 liters, in addition to the consumption from hiking.Wait, no, the 2500 calories and 2 liters are per day, regardless of activity. So, even if they hike 15 km in a day, they still need 2500 calories and 2 liters for that day.But the problem is that the trip is 7 days long, but the distances between checkpoints are given as 15, 20, 10, 25, 30, 20 km. So, the hiker will be hiking each segment in a day? Or is the total trip 7 days, but the distances are the segments between checkpoints, which may take multiple days?Wait, the problem says it's a week-long trip, so 7 days. The distances between checkpoints are 15, 20, 10, 25, 30, 20 km. So, that's 6 segments, meaning 7 checkpoints, but the trip is 7 days. So, each segment is hiked in a day? Because 6 segments would take 6 days, but the trip is 7 days. Hmm, maybe the last day is just the last segment, and the total is 7 days.Wait, maybe the hiker takes one day per segment, so 6 days, but the trip is 7 days, so maybe there's an extra day at the end? Or perhaps the hiker starts at day 1, hikes to checkpoint 2 on day 1, then checkpoint 3 on day 2, etc., up to checkpoint 7 on day 6, and then day 7 is the last day at the end.But the problem says "a week-long hiking trip", so 7 days. The distances are between checkpoints, so 6 segments, meaning 6 days of hiking, and the 7th day is perhaps the last day at the destination.But the problem doesn't specify, so maybe we can assume that each segment is hiked in a day, so 6 days of hiking, and the 7th day is rest or something.But for the purpose of calculating supplies, we need to consider that each day, the hiker needs 2500 calories and 2 liters, regardless of hiking.But the hiker also consumes calories and water while hiking. So, for each day, the total consumption is the daily requirement plus the consumption from hiking.Wait, no, the daily requirement is in addition to the hiking consumption. So, for each day, the hiker needs:- 2500 calories for daily needs- 200 calories per km hiked- 2 liters for daily hydration- 0.1 liters per km hikedSo, for each day, the total calories needed are 2500 + (distance hiked * 200)Total water needed is 2 + (distance hiked * 0.1) liters.But the hiker can restock at each checkpoint, so they don't need to carry all the supplies for the entire trip. They just need to carry enough to get to the next checkpoint, considering the consumption for that segment, and then restock.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint.So, the approach is:1. For each segment, calculate the water and food needed for that segment.2. The hiker starts with an initial backpack, which should contain enough supplies to get to the first checkpoint.3. At each checkpoint, they restock as much as needed, up to 20 kg, for the next segment.4. The total weight carried is the sum of the initial backpack and all the restocks.But we need to calculate the total weight, so we need to find out how much is carried at each point.But to minimize the total weight, the hiker should carry as much as possible at each checkpoint, up to 20 kg, to reduce the number of restocks needed. But since they have to restock at each checkpoint, they have to carry the required amount for each segment.Wait, no, the hiker can only restock up to 20 kg at each checkpoint, but they can choose how much to carry. So, to minimize the total weight carried, they should carry as much as possible at each checkpoint, so that they don't have to carry more than necessary.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, so we need to sum the initial carry and all restocks.Let me try to model this.First, list the segments:Segment 1: 15 kmSegment 2: 20 kmSegment 3: 10 kmSegment 4: 25 kmSegment 5: 30 kmSegment 6: 20 kmTotal segments: 6Each segment is hiked in a day, so 6 days of hiking, and the 7th day is perhaps the last day at the destination.But for supplies, each day requires 2500 calories and 2 liters, plus the consumption from hiking.So, for each segment, the hiker needs:- Water: 2 liters/day + 0.1 liters/km- Calories: 2500 calories/day + 200 calories/kmBut since the hiker is hiking each segment in a day, the total for each day is:Water needed: 2 + 0.1 * distanceCalories needed: 2500 + 200 * distanceBut the hiker can restock at each checkpoint, so they don't need to carry all the supplies for the entire trip. Instead, they carry enough for the current segment, and restock at each checkpoint.But the hiker starts with an initial backpack, which should contain enough for the first segment.Then, at each checkpoint, they restock for the next segment.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint.So, the total weight is the sum of the initial backpack and all the restocks.But the hiker can carry up to 20 kg at each restock, so they can carry as much as needed for the next segment, up to 20 kg.But to calculate the total weight, we need to calculate the weight carried at each checkpoint, including the initial.Let me try to calculate the required supplies for each segment.For each segment, calculate the water and food needed.But since the hiker can restock, they don't need to carry all the supplies for the entire trip. Instead, they carry enough for each segment, and restock at each checkpoint.But the hiker needs to carry the supplies for the current segment, plus any extra to meet the daily needs.Wait, no, the hiker needs to carry the supplies for the current segment, which includes the daily needs plus the consumption from hiking.So, for each segment, the hiker needs:Water: 2 + 0.1 * distance litersCalories: 2500 + 200 * distance caloriesBut since they can restock at each checkpoint, they can carry just enough for the current segment, and restock for the next.But the initial backpack needs to carry the supplies for the first segment.Then, at each checkpoint, they restock for the next segment.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which is the initial backpack plus all the restocks.But the hiker can only carry up to 20 kg at each restock, so they have to make sure that the supplies for each segment don't exceed 20 kg.Wait, but the supplies for each segment may require more than 20 kg, so they might need to carry more than one backpack's worth.But the hiker can only carry up to 20 kg at each restock, so they have to plan how much to carry at each checkpoint.Wait, no, the hiker can restock up to 20 kg at each checkpoint, but they can carry more if needed, but the backpack can only carry 20 kg at a time.Wait, the backpack has a maximum capacity of 20 kg. So, the hiker can carry up to 20 kg at any time. So, when they restock, they can refill up to 20 kg, but they have to leave the rest behind or something.Wait, no, the hiker starts with an initial backpack, then at each checkpoint, they can restock up to 20 kg. So, the initial backpack is 20 kg, and at each checkpoint, they can restock up to 20 kg.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which is the initial 20 kg plus the restocks at each checkpoint.But the hiker needs to carry enough for each segment, so the restocks should be enough for the next segment.But the hiker can carry more than needed for the next segment, but they can only carry up to 20 kg.Wait, this is getting complicated. Let me try to approach it as a series of segments, calculating the required supplies for each segment, and then determining how much needs to be carried at each checkpoint.Let me start with Segment 1: 15 kmWater needed: 2 + 0.1*15 = 2 + 1.5 = 3.5 litersCalories needed: 2500 + 200*15 = 2500 + 3000 = 5500 caloriesSo, water: 3.5 kg (since 1 liter = 1 kg)Food: 5500 calories / 4000 calories per kg = 1.375 kgTotal weight for Segment 1: 3.5 + 1.375 = 4.875 kgBut the hiker starts with an initial backpack of 20 kg, so they can carry more than needed for Segment 1, but they need to plan for the rest of the trip.Wait, no, the hiker needs to carry enough for the entire trip, but they can restock at checkpoints. So, the initial backpack should carry enough for the first segment, and then at each checkpoint, they restock for the next segment.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint.So, the initial backpack is 20 kg, which should carry enough for the first segment, but they can carry more if needed.Wait, but the initial backpack is 20 kg, which is more than the 4.875 kg needed for Segment 1. So, they can carry extra supplies for future segments.But the hiker needs to plan how much to carry initially and at each checkpoint to minimize the total weight carried.Wait, but the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, not to minimize it. So, we need to calculate how much they carry at each checkpoint, considering they can restock up to 20 kg.But the hiker needs to carry enough for each segment, so for each segment, they need to carry the required water and food.But since they can restock at each checkpoint, they can carry just enough for the next segment, but they have to carry it from the previous checkpoint.Wait, this is confusing. Let me try a different approach.Let me calculate the required water and food for each segment, then sum them up, and that will be the total weight carried.But the hiker can carry up to 20 kg at each restock, so if the required supplies for a segment exceed 20 kg, they would need to carry more than one backpack's worth, but that's not possible because they can only carry 20 kg at a time.Wait, no, the hiker can restock at each checkpoint, so they can carry the required supplies for each segment, as long as it's within 20 kg.But let's calculate the required supplies for each segment:Segment 1: 15 kmWater: 3.5 kgFood: 1.375 kgTotal: 4.875 kgSegment 2: 20 kmWater: 2 + 0.1*20 = 4 kgFood: 2500 + 200*20 = 2500 + 4000 = 6500 calories = 6500 / 4000 = 1.625 kgTotal: 4 + 1.625 = 5.625 kgSegment 3: 10 kmWater: 2 + 1 = 3 kgFood: 2500 + 2000 = 4500 calories = 1.125 kgTotal: 3 + 1.125 = 4.125 kgSegment 4: 25 kmWater: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5 kgFood: 2500 + 5000 = 7500 calories = 1.875 kgTotal: 4.5 + 1.875 = 6.375 kgSegment 5: 30 kmWater: 2 + 3 = 5 kgFood: 2500 + 6000 = 8500 calories = 2.125 kgTotal: 5 + 2.125 = 7.125 kgSegment 6: 20 kmWater: 4 kgFood: 1.625 kgTotal: 5.625 kgNow, summing up all the supplies needed for each segment:Water: 3.5 + 4 + 3 + 4.5 + 5 + 4 = let's calculate:3.5 + 4 = 7.57.5 + 3 = 10.510.5 + 4.5 = 1515 + 5 = 2020 + 4 = 24 kgFood: 1.375 + 1.625 + 1.125 + 1.875 + 2.125 + 1.625 = let's calculate:1.375 + 1.625 = 33 + 1.125 = 4.1254.125 + 1.875 = 66 + 2.125 = 8.1258.125 + 1.625 = 9.75 kgTotal supplies needed: 24 kg water + 9.75 kg food = 33.75 kgBut the hiker can only carry 20 kg at a time, so they need to carry these supplies in multiple trips, but that's not applicable here because the hiker is moving sequentially, restocking at each checkpoint.Wait, no, the hiker is moving from one checkpoint to the next, restocking at each. So, the total weight carried is the sum of all the supplies carried at each checkpoint, which is the initial backpack plus the restocks.But the initial backpack is 20 kg, which can carry some of the supplies for the first segment, and then at each checkpoint, they restock up to 20 kg for the next segment.But the total supplies needed are 33.75 kg, which is more than 20 kg, so the hiker needs to carry more than one backpack's worth.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which would be the initial 20 kg plus the restocks at each checkpoint.But how much do they need to carry at each checkpoint?Let me think of it as the hiker needs to carry the required supplies for each segment, and since they can restock up to 20 kg at each checkpoint, they can carry the required amount for the next segment.But the initial backpack is 20 kg, which can carry the required supplies for the first segment, which is 4.875 kg, leaving 15.125 kg to carry extra supplies for future segments.But the hiker needs to carry all the supplies for the entire trip, so they need to carry the required supplies for each segment, either initially or at restocks.But the total required is 33.75 kg, so the hiker needs to carry this amount in their backpacks, considering they can carry 20 kg at a time.But the hiker starts with 20 kg, then at each checkpoint, they can restock up to 20 kg.So, the total weight carried is the initial 20 kg plus the restocks at each checkpoint.But the restocks are needed to carry the remaining supplies.Total supplies needed: 33.75 kgInitial carry: 20 kgRemaining supplies: 33.75 - 20 = 13.75 kgBut the hiker can restock up to 20 kg at each checkpoint, so they can carry the remaining 13.75 kg in one restock.But the hiker has 6 checkpoints (excluding the start), so they can restock at each checkpoint.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which is the initial 20 kg plus the restocks.But the restocks are only needed if the supplies exceed the initial carry.Wait, no, the hiker needs to carry the required supplies for each segment, so the restocks are for the next segments.But the total required is 33.75 kg, so the hiker needs to carry 20 kg initially, and then 13.75 kg at the restocks.But since the hiker can only carry 20 kg at each restock, they can carry 13.75 kg in one restock, but they have multiple checkpoints.Wait, this is getting too tangled. Maybe the total weight carried is the sum of all the supplies needed for each segment, which is 33.75 kg, but since the hiker can carry 20 kg at a time, they need to make multiple trips, but that's not applicable here.Wait, no, the hiker is moving sequentially, so they carry the initial 20 kg, then at each checkpoint, they restock up to 20 kg for the next segment.But the total supplies needed are 33.75 kg, so the hiker needs to carry 20 kg initially, and then 13.75 kg at the restocks.But the restocks are spread over 6 checkpoints, so the hiker can carry the 13.75 kg in one restock, but they have 6 opportunities to restock.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which is the initial 20 kg plus the restocks.But the restocks are only needed if the supplies exceed the initial carry.Wait, maybe the total weight carried is just the sum of all the supplies needed, which is 33.75 kg, because the hiker has to carry all of it, either initially or at restocks.But the hiker can only carry 20 kg at a time, so they need to carry the remaining 13.75 kg at restocks.But the hiker has 6 checkpoints, so they can carry the 13.75 kg in one restock, but they have to carry it over multiple segments.Wait, I'm getting stuck here. Let me try a different approach.The total supplies needed are 33.75 kg. The hiker starts with 20 kg, so they need to carry an additional 13.75 kg at restocks.Since the hiker can restock up to 20 kg at each checkpoint, they can carry the 13.75 kg in one restock, but they have 6 checkpoints, so they can spread it out.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which is the initial 20 kg plus the restocks.So, the total weight carried is 20 + 13.75 = 33.75 kg.But that seems too straightforward. Maybe I'm missing something.Alternatively, the total weight carried is the sum of all the supplies carried at each checkpoint, which is the initial 20 kg plus the restocks.But the restocks are the supplies needed for each segment beyond the initial carry.Wait, no, the restocks are the supplies carried at each checkpoint for the next segment.So, for each segment, the hiker needs to carry the required supplies, which can be carried either initially or at restocks.But the initial carry is 20 kg, which can cover part of the total supplies.The total supplies needed are 33.75 kg, so the hiker needs to carry 20 kg initially, and then 13.75 kg at restocks.But the restocks are carried at each checkpoint, so the total weight carried is 20 + 13.75 = 33.75 kg.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint, so it's 33.75 kg.But let me check:Initial carry: 20 kgRestocks: 13.75 kgTotal: 33.75 kgYes, that makes sense.But wait, the hiker can only carry 20 kg at each restock, so they can carry 13.75 kg in one restock, but they have 6 checkpoints, so they can carry it in one restock, but the restocks are for each segment.Wait, no, the restocks are for each segment, so the hiker needs to carry the required supplies for each segment, which are:Segment 1: 4.875 kgSegment 2: 5.625 kgSegment 3: 4.125 kgSegment 4: 6.375 kgSegment 5: 7.125 kgSegment 6: 5.625 kgTotal: 33.75 kgThe hiker starts with 20 kg, which can cover the first segment (4.875 kg) and part of the second segment.But the hiker needs to carry the required supplies for each segment, so the initial 20 kg can cover the first segment and part of the second.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried, which is the sum of all the supplies carried at each checkpoint.So, the initial 20 kg is carried, then at each checkpoint, they carry the required supplies for the next segment.So, the total weight carried is:Initial: 20 kgCheckpoint 1: 5.625 kg (for Segment 2)Checkpoint 2: 4.125 kg (for Segment 3)Checkpoint 3: 6.375 kg (for Segment 4)Checkpoint 4: 7.125 kg (for Segment 5)Checkpoint 5: 5.625 kg (for Segment 6)Total: 20 + 5.625 + 4.125 + 6.375 + 7.125 + 5.625 = let's calculate:20 + 5.625 = 25.62525.625 + 4.125 = 29.7529.75 + 6.375 = 36.12536.125 + 7.125 = 43.2543.25 + 5.625 = 48.875 kgBut this seems too high because the total supplies needed are only 33.75 kg.Wait, I think I'm misunderstanding. The hiker doesn't need to carry the entire supplies for each segment at each checkpoint. Instead, they carry the required supplies for the next segment from the current checkpoint.So, the initial carry is 20 kg, which should cover the first segment and part of the second.But the hiker needs to carry the required supplies for each segment, so the initial 20 kg can cover the first segment (4.875 kg) and part of the second segment (5.625 kg). So, 4.875 + x = 20, so x = 15.125 kg for the second segment.But the second segment only requires 5.625 kg, so the hiker can carry 5.625 kg for the second segment, leaving 14.375 kg extra.Wait, this is getting too convoluted. Maybe the total weight carried is just the sum of all the supplies needed for each segment, which is 33.75 kg, because the hiker has to carry all of it, either initially or at restocks.But the hiker can only carry 20 kg at a time, so they need to carry 20 kg initially, and then 13.75 kg at restocks.But the restocks are carried at each checkpoint, so the total weight carried is 20 + 13.75 = 33.75 kg.But the problem is to calculate the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint, so it's 33.75 kg.But let me check the math:Total supplies needed: 24 kg water + 9.75 kg food = 33.75 kgTotal weight carried: 33.75 kgYes, that makes sense.So, the total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint is 33.75 kg.But let me confirm:The hiker starts with 20 kg, which can cover the first segment (4.875 kg) and part of the second segment (5.625 kg). So, 4.875 + 5.625 = 10.5 kg, leaving 9.5 kg extra in the initial carry.But the hiker can carry more than needed for the next segment, but they have to carry it in the backpack.Wait, no, the hiker can only carry up to 20 kg at a time, so they can carry the required supplies for the next segment, but they have to plan how much to carry at each checkpoint.But the total required is 33.75 kg, so the hiker needs to carry 20 kg initially and 13.75 kg at restocks.Therefore, the total weight carried is 20 + 13.75 = 33.75 kg.Yes, that seems correct.So, to summarize:Part 1: The hiker should carry 6 kg of food and 14 kg of water initially, totaling 20 kg.Part 2: The total weight carried initially and at each checkpoint is 33.75 kg.But wait, the problem says "calculate the total weight of food and water the hiker needs to carry initially and at each checkpoint to complete the entire trip without running out of supplies."So, it's the sum of all the supplies carried at each checkpoint, which is 33.75 kg.But the initial carry is 20 kg, and the restocks are 13.75 kg, so total is 33.75 kg.Yes, that's the answer.</think>
❓:An animation director is working on a project to analyze the impact of different media formats on the popularity of manga. The director believes that manga should remain in printed form and not be adapted into anime. To support this belief, the director has collected data on the popularity of a particular manga series in both printed and animated formats over a period of time. The popularity is measured on a scale from 0 to 100.Let ( P(t) ) represent the popularity of the printed manga at time ( t ) months after release, and let ( A(t) ) represent the popularity of the anime adaptation at time ( t ) months after release. The director has modeled the popularity functions as follows:[ P(t) = 80 - 10 sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) ][ A(t) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.2t} cosleft(frac{pi t}{3}right) ]1. Calculate the time ( t ) in the first 12 months when the popularity of the printed manga is at its minimum. What is the corresponding popularity value at this time?2. Determine the time ( t ) in the first 12 months when the difference in popularity between the printed manga and the anime adaptation is maximized. What is the maximum difference in popularity at this time?
🧠:<think>Okay, so I have this problem where an animation director is analyzing the impact of different media formats on the popularity of manga. The director thinks that manga should stay in printed form and not be adapted into anime. To back this up, he's collected data on the popularity of a specific manga series in both printed and animated formats over time. The popularity is measured on a scale from 0 to 100.The functions given are:For the printed manga, ( P(t) = 80 - 10 sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) )And for the anime adaptation, ( A(t) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.2t} cosleft(frac{pi t}{3}right) )There are two parts to the problem:1. Find the time ( t ) in the first 12 months when the popularity of the printed manga is at its minimum. Also, find the corresponding popularity value.2. Determine the time ( t ) in the first 12 months when the difference in popularity between the printed manga and the anime adaptation is maximized. Also, find the maximum difference in popularity at that time.Let me tackle the first part first.Problem 1: Minimum Popularity of Printed MangaSo, we have ( P(t) = 80 - 10 sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) ). We need to find the time ( t ) in the first 12 months where this function is minimized.First, I know that the sine function oscillates between -1 and 1. So, ( sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) ) will oscillate between -1 and 1 as ( t ) increases.Looking at ( P(t) ), it's 80 minus 10 times sine. So, when sine is at its maximum (1), ( P(t) ) will be at its minimum, because we're subtracting 10*1. Similarly, when sine is at its minimum (-1), ( P(t) ) will be at its maximum, because we're subtracting 10*(-1) = +10.Therefore, the minimum of ( P(t) ) occurs when ( sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) = 1 ).So, let's set ( sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) = 1 ).We know that ( sin(theta) = 1 ) when ( theta = frac{pi}{2} + 2pi k ), where ( k ) is an integer.So, ( frac{pi t}{6} = frac{pi}{2} + 2pi k )Multiply both sides by 6/π:( t = 3 + 12k )So, the times when the sine function is 1 are at ( t = 3 + 12k ) months.But we're only looking at the first 12 months, so ( t ) must be between 0 and 12.So, let's plug in k=0: t=3k=1: t=15, which is beyond 12, so we can ignore that.Thus, the minimum occurs at t=3 months.Now, let's find the corresponding popularity value.Plug t=3 into ( P(t) ):( P(3) = 80 - 10 sinleft(frac{pi * 3}{6}right) )Simplify the argument of sine:( frac{pi * 3}{6} = frac{pi}{2} )So, ( sinleft(frac{pi}{2}right) = 1 )Therefore, ( P(3) = 80 - 10*1 = 70 )So, the minimum popularity is 70 at t=3 months.Wait, hold on. Let me double-check that. If ( P(t) = 80 - 10 sin(pi t /6) ), then when sine is 1, it's 80 - 10 = 70. That seems correct.But just to be thorough, maybe I should check the derivative to confirm that it's indeed a minimum.Compute the derivative of ( P(t) ):( P'(t) = d/dt [80 - 10 sin(pi t /6)] = -10 * (pi /6) cos(pi t /6) )Set derivative equal to zero to find critical points:( -10 * (pi /6) cos(pi t /6) = 0 )Which simplifies to:( cos(pi t /6) = 0 )So, ( pi t /6 = pi/2 + pi k ), where k is integer.Multiply both sides by 6/π:( t = 3 + 6k )So, critical points at t=3, 9, 15, etc.Within the first 12 months, t=3 and t=9.So, we have critical points at t=3 and t=9.Now, let's evaluate ( P(t) ) at these points and also at the endpoints t=0 and t=12.Compute ( P(0) = 80 - 10 sin(0) = 80 - 0 = 80Compute ( P(3) = 80 - 10 sin(π/2) = 80 - 10 = 70Compute ( P(9) = 80 - 10 sin(3π/2) = 80 - 10*(-1) = 80 + 10 = 90Compute ( P(12) = 80 - 10 sin(2π) = 80 - 0 = 80So, the minimum is at t=3, which is 70, and the maximum is at t=9, which is 90.Therefore, the first part is confirmed: the minimum occurs at t=3 months, with a popularity of 70.Problem 2: Maximum Difference in PopularityNow, the second part is to find the time ( t ) in the first 12 months when the difference in popularity between the printed manga and the anime adaptation is maximized. So, we need to maximize ( |P(t) - A(t)| ) over t in [0,12].But the problem doesn't specify whether it's the absolute difference or just the difference ( P(t) - A(t) ). Hmm, the wording says "difference in popularity", so it's probably the absolute difference. But sometimes, in some contexts, difference could be signed. Let me check the problem statement again.It says: "the difference in popularity between the printed manga and the anime adaptation is maximized." So, it's the difference, which could be positive or negative, but since we're talking about maximum difference, it's probably the maximum absolute difference.But to be safe, let's consider both possibilities.First, let's define the difference function:( D(t) = P(t) - A(t) = [80 - 10 sin(pi t /6)] - [60 + 15 e^{-0.2t} cos(pi t /3)] )Simplify:( D(t) = 80 - 10 sin(pi t /6) - 60 - 15 e^{-0.2t} cos(pi t /3) )Simplify further:( D(t) = 20 - 10 sin(pi t /6) - 15 e^{-0.2t} cos(pi t /3) )So, ( D(t) = 20 - 10 sin(pi t /6) - 15 e^{-0.2t} cos(pi t /3) )We need to find the maximum of |D(t)| over t in [0,12].Alternatively, if we consider just D(t), we might have a maximum or a minimum, but since the problem says "difference in popularity is maximized", it's probably referring to the maximum of |D(t)|.But let's see.Alternatively, maybe the problem is considering the signed difference, so the maximum could be either a peak of D(t) or a trough. But since it's asking for the maximum difference, it's more likely the maximum of |D(t)|.But let's proceed by considering both possibilities.First, let's compute D(t) and see its behavior.But to find the maximum of |D(t)|, we can consider the extrema of D(t). So, we can compute the derivative of D(t), set it to zero, find critical points, evaluate D(t) at those points and endpoints, and then find the maximum |D(t)|.Alternatively, if we just compute D(t) and its derivative, find where D(t) is maximized or minimized, and then take the maximum absolute value.But perhaps, since D(t) is a combination of sine, cosine, and exponential functions, it might be a bit complicated, but let's proceed step by step.First, let's write down D(t):( D(t) = 20 - 10 sinleft(frac{pi t}{6}right) - 15 e^{-0.2t} cosleft(frac{pi t}{3}right) )To find the extrema, we need to compute D'(t) and set it equal to zero.Compute D'(t):First, derivative of 20 is 0.Derivative of -10 sin(πt/6):-10 * (π/6) cos(πt/6)Derivative of -15 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3):Use product rule: derivative of first times second plus first times derivative of second.First: -15 e^{-0.2t}Derivative of first: -15 * (-0.2) e^{-0.2t} = 3 e^{-0.2t}Second: cos(πt/3)Derivative of second: -sin(πt/3) * (π/3)So, putting it together:Derivative of -15 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3) is:3 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3) + (-15 e^{-0.2t}) * (-sin(πt/3) * π/3)Simplify:3 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3) + 15 e^{-0.2t} (π/3) sin(πt/3)So, overall, D'(t) is:-10*(π/6) cos(πt/6) + 3 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3) + 15 e^{-0.2t} (π/3) sin(πt/3)Simplify the constants:-10*(π/6) = -5π/3 ≈ -5.235993 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3)15*(π/3) = 5π ≈ 15.70796So, D'(t) = (-5π/3) cos(πt/6) + 3 e^{-0.2t} cos(πt/3) + 5π e^{-0.2t} sin(πt/3)This is a bit complicated, but perhaps we can write it as:D'(t) = (-5π/3) cos(πt/6) + e^{-0.2t} [3 cos(πt/3) + 5π sin(πt/3)]Hmm, that might be a bit more manageable.So, D'(t) = (-5π/3) cos(πt/6) + e^{-0.2t} [3 cos(πt/3) + 5π sin(πt/3)]To find critical points, set D'(t) = 0:(-5π/3) cos(πt/6) + e^{-0.2t} [3 cos(πt/3) + 5π sin(πt/3)] = 0This equation is transcendental and likely cannot be solved analytically, so we'll need to solve it numerically.But since we're dealing with t in [0,12], we can attempt to find approximate solutions.Alternatively, perhaps we can analyze the behavior of D(t) and estimate where the maximum |D(t)| occurs.But before that, let's compute D(t) at several points to get an idea of its behavior.Compute D(t) at t=0, 3, 6, 9, 12.At t=0:P(0) = 80 - 10 sin(0) = 80A(0) = 60 + 15 e^{0} cos(0) = 60 + 15*1*1 = 75So, D(0) = 80 - 75 = 5At t=3:P(3) = 70 (from part 1)A(3) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.6} cos(π) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.6}*(-1)Compute e^{-0.6} ≈ 0.5488So, A(3) ≈ 60 - 15*0.5488 ≈ 60 - 8.232 ≈ 51.768Thus, D(3) = 70 - 51.768 ≈ 18.232At t=6:P(6) = 80 - 10 sin(π) = 80 - 0 = 80A(6) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.2} cos(2π) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.2}*1e^{-1.2} ≈ 0.3012So, A(6) ≈ 60 + 15*0.3012 ≈ 60 + 4.518 ≈ 64.518Thus, D(6) = 80 - 64.518 ≈ 15.482At t=9:P(9) = 90 (from part 1)A(9) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.8} cos(3π) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.8}*(-1)e^{-1.8} ≈ 0.1653So, A(9) ≈ 60 - 15*0.1653 ≈ 60 - 2.4795 ≈ 57.5205Thus, D(9) = 90 - 57.5205 ≈ 32.4795At t=12:P(12) = 80 - 10 sin(2π) = 80 - 0 = 80A(12) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.4} cos(4π) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.4}*1e^{-2.4} ≈ 0.0907So, A(12) ≈ 60 + 15*0.0907 ≈ 60 + 1.3605 ≈ 61.3605Thus, D(12) = 80 - 61.3605 ≈ 18.6395So, compiling these:t | D(t)--- | ---0 | 53 | ~18.2326 | ~15.4829 | ~32.479512 | ~18.6395So, from these points, D(t) seems to peak at t=9 with approximately 32.48.But let's check t=1.5, t=4.5, t=7.5, t=10.5 to see if there are higher values.Compute D(t) at t=1.5:P(1.5) = 80 - 10 sin(π*1.5/6) = 80 - 10 sin(π/4) ≈ 80 - 10*(√2/2) ≈ 80 - 7.071 ≈ 72.929A(1.5) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.3} cos(π*1.5/3) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.3} cos(π/2) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.3}*0 = 60Thus, D(1.5) = 72.929 - 60 ≈ 12.929At t=4.5:P(4.5) = 80 - 10 sin(π*4.5/6) = 80 - 10 sin(3π/4) ≈ 80 - 10*(√2/2) ≈ 80 - 7.071 ≈ 72.929A(4.5) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.9} cos(π*4.5/3) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.9} cos(3π/2) = 60 + 15 e^{-0.9}*0 = 60Thus, D(4.5) = 72.929 - 60 ≈ 12.929At t=7.5:P(7.5) = 80 - 10 sin(π*7.5/6) = 80 - 10 sin(5π/4) ≈ 80 - 10*(-√2/2) ≈ 80 + 7.071 ≈ 87.071A(7.5) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.5} cos(π*7.5/3) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.5} cos(5π/2) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.5}*0 = 60Thus, D(7.5) = 87.071 - 60 ≈ 27.071At t=10.5:P(10.5) = 80 - 10 sin(π*10.5/6) = 80 - 10 sin(7π/4) ≈ 80 - 10*(-√2/2) ≈ 80 + 7.071 ≈ 87.071A(10.5) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.1} cos(π*10.5/3) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.1} cos(3.5π) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.1}*(-1)Compute e^{-2.1} ≈ 0.1225So, A(10.5) ≈ 60 - 15*0.1225 ≈ 60 - 1.8375 ≈ 58.1625Thus, D(10.5) = 87.071 - 58.1625 ≈ 28.9085So, adding these to our table:t | D(t)--- | ---0 | 51.5 | ~12.9293 | ~18.2324.5 | ~12.9296 | ~15.4827.5 | ~27.0719 | ~32.479510.5 | ~28.908512 | ~18.6395So, from this, the maximum D(t) seems to be around t=9, with D(t) ≈32.48.But let's check t=8 and t=10 to see if there's a higher value.Compute D(8):P(8) = 80 - 10 sin(π*8/6) = 80 - 10 sin(4π/3) ≈ 80 - 10*(-√3/2) ≈ 80 + 8.660 ≈ 88.660A(8) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.6} cos(π*8/3) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.6} cos(8π/3)But 8π/3 is equivalent to 8π/3 - 2π = 8π/3 - 6π/3 = 2π/3So, cos(2π/3) = -1/2Thus, A(8) = 60 + 15 e^{-1.6}*(-1/2) ≈ 60 - 7.5 e^{-1.6}Compute e^{-1.6} ≈ 0.2019So, A(8) ≈ 60 - 7.5*0.2019 ≈ 60 - 1.514 ≈ 58.486Thus, D(8) = 88.660 - 58.486 ≈ 30.174Similarly, compute D(10):P(10) = 80 - 10 sin(π*10/6) = 80 - 10 sin(5π/3) ≈ 80 - 10*(-√3/2) ≈ 80 + 8.660 ≈ 88.660A(10) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.0} cos(π*10/3) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.0} cos(10π/3)10π/3 is equivalent to 10π/3 - 2π = 10π/3 - 6π/3 = 4π/3cos(4π/3) = -1/2Thus, A(10) = 60 + 15 e^{-2.0}*(-1/2) ≈ 60 - 7.5 e^{-2.0}e^{-2.0} ≈ 0.1353So, A(10) ≈ 60 - 7.5*0.1353 ≈ 60 - 1.0148 ≈ 58.9852Thus, D(10) = 88.660 - 58.9852 ≈ 29.6748So, D(8) ≈30.174, D(10)≈29.6748So, still, the maximum seems to be around t=9.But let's check t=9.5:P(9.5) = 80 - 10 sin(π*9.5/6) = 80 - 10 sin(19π/12)19π/12 is equivalent to π/12 less than 2π, so sin(19π/12) = sin(π/12) ≈0.2588Wait, no. Wait, 19π/12 is in the fourth quadrant, so sin is negative.sin(19π/12) = sin(π/12) ≈0.2588, but since it's in the fourth quadrant, it's -0.2588.Thus, P(9.5) ≈80 -10*(-0.2588) ≈80 +2.588≈82.588Wait, that seems lower than P(9)=90. Wait, that doesn't make sense because P(t) is 80 -10 sin(πt/6). At t=9, π*9/6=3π/2, sin(3π/2)=-1, so P(9)=80 -10*(-1)=90.At t=9.5, π*9.5/6≈1.583π≈4.974 radians, which is just past 3π/2 (≈4.712). So, sin(4.974)≈sin(π/2 + π)≈sin(3π/2 + something)=negative.Wait, let me compute sin(19π/12):19π/12 = π + 7π/12, so sin(19π/12)= -sin(7π/12). Sin(7π/12)=sin(105°)=sin(60°+45°)=sin60 cos45 + cos60 sin45= (√3/2)(√2/2) + (1/2)(√2/2)= (√6/4 + √2/4)= (√6 + √2)/4≈(2.449 + 1.414)/4≈3.863/4≈0.9659So, sin(19π/12)= -0.9659Thus, P(9.5)=80 -10*(-0.9659)=80 +9.659≈89.659A(9.5)=60 +15 e^{-1.9} cos(π*9.5/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.9} cos(19π/6)19π/6 is equivalent to 19π/6 - 3π=19π/6 -18π/6=π/6So, cos(π/6)=√3/2≈0.8660Thus, A(9.5)=60 +15 e^{-1.9}*(√3/2)Compute e^{-1.9}≈0.1496So, A(9.5)=60 +15*0.1496*0.8660≈60 +15*0.1293≈60 +1.939≈61.939Thus, D(9.5)=89.659 -61.939≈27.72So, D(9.5)=~27.72, which is less than D(9)=~32.48Similarly, check t=8.5:P(8.5)=80 -10 sin(π*8.5/6)=80 -10 sin(17π/12)17π/12 is in the fourth quadrant, sin is negative.sin(17π/12)=sin(π +5π/12)= -sin(5π/12)= -sin(75°)= - (sin60 cos15 + cos60 sin15)= but actually, sin(75°)=sin(45+30)=sin45 cos30 + cos45 sin30= (√2/2)(√3/2)+(√2/2)(1/2)=√6/4 +√2/4≈0.9659Thus, sin(17π/12)= -0.9659Thus, P(8.5)=80 -10*(-0.9659)=80 +9.659≈89.659A(8.5)=60 +15 e^{-1.7} cos(π*8.5/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.7} cos(17π/6)17π/6 is equivalent to 17π/6 - 2π=17π/6 -12π/6=5π/6cos(5π/6)= -√3/2≈-0.8660Thus, A(8.5)=60 +15 e^{-1.7}*(-√3/2)Compute e^{-1.7}≈0.1827So, A(8.5)=60 -15*0.1827*0.8660≈60 -15*0.158≈60 -2.37≈57.63Thus, D(8.5)=89.659 -57.63≈32.029So, D(8.5)≈32.029, which is slightly less than D(9)=32.4795Similarly, check t=9.25:P(9.25)=80 -10 sin(π*9.25/6)=80 -10 sin(37π/24)37π/24 is equivalent to 37π/24 - 2π=37π/24 -48π/24= -11π/24, but sin is periodic, so sin(-11π/24)= -sin(11π/24)11π/24≈1.439 radians≈82.5°, sin≈0.9914Thus, sin(37π/24)= -0.9914Thus, P(9.25)=80 -10*(-0.9914)=80 +9.914≈89.914A(9.25)=60 +15 e^{-1.85} cos(π*9.25/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.85} cos(37π/12)37π/12 is equivalent to 37π/12 - 3π=37π/12 -36π/12=π/12cos(π/12)=cos(15°)=√(2 +√3)/2≈0.9659Thus, A(9.25)=60 +15 e^{-1.85}*0.9659Compute e^{-1.85}≈0.1575So, A(9.25)=60 +15*0.1575*0.9659≈60 +15*0.152≈60 +2.28≈62.28Thus, D(9.25)=89.914 -62.28≈27.634So, D(9.25)=~27.634, which is less than D(9)Similarly, check t=8.75:P(8.75)=80 -10 sin(π*8.75/6)=80 -10 sin(35π/24)35π/24 is equivalent to 35π/24 - 2π=35π/24 -48π/24= -13π/24, sin(-13π/24)= -sin(13π/24)13π/24≈1.701 radians≈97.5°, sin≈0.9914Thus, sin(35π/24)= -0.9914Thus, P(8.75)=80 -10*(-0.9914)=80 +9.914≈89.914A(8.75)=60 +15 e^{-1.75} cos(π*8.75/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.75} cos(35π/12)35π/12 is equivalent to 35π/12 - 2π=35π/12 -24π/12=11π/12cos(11π/12)=cos(165°)= -cos(15°)= -0.9659Thus, A(8.75)=60 +15 e^{-1.75}*(-0.9659)Compute e^{-1.75}≈0.1738So, A(8.75)=60 -15*0.1738*0.9659≈60 -15*0.1678≈60 -2.517≈57.483Thus, D(8.75)=89.914 -57.483≈32.431So, D(8.75)=~32.431, which is almost equal to D(9)=32.4795So, it seems that D(t) peaks around t=9, with D(t)≈32.48.But to be thorough, let's check t=9.1:P(9.1)=80 -10 sin(π*9.1/6)=80 -10 sin(9.1π/6)=80 -10 sin(1.5167π)=80 -10 sin(π +0.5167π)=80 -10*(-sin(0.5167π))=80 +10 sin(0.5167π)0.5167π≈1.623 radians≈93°, sin≈0.9986Thus, P(9.1)=80 +10*0.9986≈80 +9.986≈89.986A(9.1)=60 +15 e^{-1.82} cos(π*9.1/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.82} cos(9.1π/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.82} cos(3.0333π)=60 +15 e^{-1.82} cos(π +0.0333π)=60 +15 e^{-1.82}*(-cos(0.0333π))cos(0.0333π)=cos(6°)≈0.9945Thus, A(9.1)=60 -15 e^{-1.82}*0.9945Compute e^{-1.82}≈0.1623So, A(9.1)=60 -15*0.1623*0.9945≈60 -15*0.1613≈60 -2.419≈57.581Thus, D(9.1)=89.986 -57.581≈32.405So, D(9.1)=~32.405, which is slightly less than D(9)=32.4795Similarly, check t=8.9:P(8.9)=80 -10 sin(π*8.9/6)=80 -10 sin(8.9π/6)=80 -10 sin(1.4833π)=80 -10 sin(π +0.4833π)=80 -10*(-sin(0.4833π))=80 +10 sin(0.4833π)0.4833π≈1.518 radians≈87°, sin≈0.9986Thus, P(8.9)=80 +10*0.9986≈80 +9.986≈89.986A(8.9)=60 +15 e^{-1.78} cos(π*8.9/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.78} cos(8.9π/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.78} cos(2.9667π)=60 +15 e^{-1.78} cos(π +0.9667π)=60 +15 e^{-1.78}*(-cos(0.9667π))cos(0.9667π)=cos(174°)= -cos(6°)≈-0.9945Thus, A(8.9)=60 -15 e^{-1.78}*(-0.9945)=60 +15 e^{-1.78}*0.9945Compute e^{-1.78}≈0.1684So, A(8.9)=60 +15*0.1684*0.9945≈60 +15*0.1675≈60 +2.5125≈62.5125Thus, D(8.9)=89.986 -62.5125≈27.4735So, D(8.9)=~27.4735, which is less than D(9)From these computations, it seems that D(t) reaches its maximum around t=9, with D(t)≈32.48.But let's check t=9.0:P(9)=90A(9)=57.5205Thus, D(9)=32.4795So, D(t) is approximately 32.48 at t=9.But let's check if there's a higher value somewhere else.Wait, at t=9, D(t)=32.48, which is higher than at t=8.75 and t=8.5, which were ~32.43 and ~32.029 respectively.So, it seems that t=9 is indeed the point where D(t) is maximized.But just to be thorough, let's check t=9.05:P(9.05)=80 -10 sin(π*9.05/6)=80 -10 sin(1.5083π)=80 -10 sin(π +0.5083π)=80 -10*(-sin(0.5083π))=80 +10 sin(0.5083π)0.5083π≈1.600 radians≈91.7°, sin≈0.9995Thus, P(9.05)=80 +10*0.9995≈80 +9.995≈89.995A(9.05)=60 +15 e^{-1.81} cos(π*9.05/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.81} cos(9.05π/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.81} cos(3.0167π)=60 +15 e^{-1.81} cos(π +0.0167π)=60 +15 e^{-1.81}*(-cos(0.0167π))cos(0.0167π)=cos(3°)≈0.9986Thus, A(9.05)=60 -15 e^{-1.81}*0.9986Compute e^{-1.81}≈0.1644So, A(9.05)=60 -15*0.1644*0.9986≈60 -15*0.1642≈60 -2.463≈57.537Thus, D(9.05)=89.995 -57.537≈32.458So, D(9.05)=~32.458, which is slightly less than D(9)=32.4795Similarly, check t=8.95:P(8.95)=80 -10 sin(π*8.95/6)=80 -10 sin(8.95π/6)=80 -10 sin(1.4917π)=80 -10 sin(π +0.4917π)=80 -10*(-sin(0.4917π))=80 +10 sin(0.4917π)0.4917π≈1.543 radians≈88.3°, sin≈0.9995Thus, P(8.95)=80 +10*0.9995≈80 +9.995≈89.995A(8.95)=60 +15 e^{-1.79} cos(π*8.95/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.79} cos(8.95π/3)=60 +15 e^{-1.79} cos(2.9833π)=60 +15 e^{-1.79} cos(π +0.9833π)=60 +15 e^{-1.79}*(-cos(0.9833π))cos(0.9833π)=cos(177°)= -cos(3°)≈-0.9986Thus, A(8.95)=60 -15 e^{-1.79}*(-0.9986)=60 +15 e^{-1.79}*0.9986Compute e^{-1.79}≈0.1678So, A(8.95)=60 +15*0.1678*0.9986≈60 +15*0.1676≈60 +2.514≈62.514Thus, D(8.95)=89.995 -62.514≈27.481So, D(8.95)=~27.481, which is less than D(9)Therefore, it's clear that the maximum D(t) occurs at t=9 months, with D(t)=~32.48.But let's check if there's a point where D(t) is negative and has a larger magnitude, i.e., |D(t)| is larger.From our initial computations, D(t) is always positive in the first 12 months, as P(t) is always above A(t). Let's check at t=0, D(t)=5, which is positive.At t=3, D(t)=18.232, positive.At t=6, D(t)=15.482, positive.At t=9, D(t)=32.48, positive.At t=12, D(t)=18.6395, positive.So, D(t) is always positive in the first 12 months, so the maximum |D(t)| is just the maximum D(t), which is at t=9.Therefore, the time t when the difference is maximized is t=9 months, and the maximum difference is approximately 32.48.But let's compute D(9) more accurately.Compute P(9)=90Compute A(9)=60 +15 e^{-1.8} cos(3π)=60 +15 e^{-1.8}*(-1)Compute e^{-1.8}=e^{-1.8}= approximately 0.1653Thus, A(9)=60 -15*0.1653=60 -2.4795=57.5205Thus, D(9)=90 -57.5205=32.4795So, D(9)=32.4795, which is approximately 32.48.But let's compute it more precisely.Compute e^{-1.8}:e^{-1.8}=1/(e^{1.8})=1/(6.05)= approximately 0.1653But more accurately, e^{1.8}=e^{1+0.8}=e*e^{0.8}=2.71828*2.22554≈6.05Thus, e^{-1.8}=1/6.05≈0.1653Thus, A(9)=60 -15*0.1653=60 -2.4795=57.5205Thus, D(9)=90 -57.5205=32.4795So, D(9)=32.4795, which is approximately 32.48.Therefore, the maximum difference is approximately 32.48 at t=9 months.But let's check if there's any point where D(t) is negative, which would mean A(t) > P(t), but from our earlier calculations, D(t) is always positive, so the maximum difference is indeed 32.48 at t=9.Therefore, the answers are:1. Minimum popularity of printed manga occurs at t=3 months, with a popularity of 70.2. The maximum difference in popularity occurs at t=9 months, with a difference of approximately 32.48.But let's express the exact value of D(9):D(9)=90 - [60 +15 e^{-1.8} cos(3π)]=90 - [60 +15 e^{-1.8}*(-1)]=90 -60 +15 e^{-1.8}=30 +15 e^{-1.8}Compute 15 e^{-1.8}=15*(e^{-1.8})=15*(0.1653)=2.4795Thus, D(9)=30 +2.4795=32.4795So, the exact value is 30 +15 e^{-1.8}But since the problem asks for the numerical value, we can write it as approximately 32.48.But perhaps, to be precise, we can compute e^{-1.8} more accurately.Compute e^{-1.8}:We know that e^{-1}=0.3678794412e^{-0.8}=0.4493288869Thus, e^{-1.8}=e^{-1} * e^{-0.8}=0.3678794412 *0.4493288869≈0.1653Thus, 15 e^{-1.8}=15*0.1653≈2.4795Thus, D(9)=30 +2.4795=32.4795≈32.48Therefore, the maximum difference is approximately 32.48 at t=9 months.So, summarizing:1. The printed manga's popularity is minimized at t=3 months, with a popularity of 70.2. The difference in popularity between printed manga and anime adaptation is maximized at t=9 months, with a maximum difference of approximately 32.48.But let's check if the problem requires the exact value or if it's okay to approximate.The problem says "what is the corresponding popularity value at this time?" and "what is the maximum difference in popularity at this time?"Since the functions are given with exact terms, perhaps we can express the maximum difference as 30 +15 e^{-1.8}, but it's more likely they expect a numerical value.Alternatively, since the problem is about popularity measured on a scale from 0 to 100, it's reasonable to present the numerical value rounded to two decimal places.Thus, the maximum difference is approximately 32.48.Alternatively, if we compute it more precisely:Compute e^{-1.8}:Using a calculator, e^{-1.8}=0.165298883Thus, 15 e^{-1.8}=15*0.165298883≈2.479483245Thus, D(9)=30 +2.479483245≈32.479483245≈32.48So, 32.48 is accurate to two decimal places.Therefore, the answers are:1. t=3 months, popularity=702. t=9 months, maximum difference≈32.48But let's check if the problem requires the exact value or if it's okay to approximate.Given that the functions are given with exact terms, but the problem asks for numerical values, I think it's acceptable to present the numerical values as I did.Therefore, the final answers are:1. Minimum popularity at t=3 months, P=702. Maximum difference at t=9 months, D≈32.48But let's check if the problem requires the exact value for the difference.Wait, the problem says "what is the maximum difference in popularity at this time?"So, it's asking for the numerical value, so 32.48 is fine.Alternatively, if we want to express it as an exact expression, it's 30 +15 e^{-1.8}, but that's probably not necessary.Therefore, the answers are:1. t=3 months, P=702. t=9 months, difference≈32.48But let's confirm that t=9 is indeed the maximum.Wait, from our earlier analysis, D(t) is always positive, so the maximum |D(t)| is the same as the maximum D(t), which occurs at t=9.Therefore, the answers are as above.</think>
❓:A seasoned political reporter, Alex, has covered numerous political campaigns over the years. During each campaign, Alex collects data on candidate speeches, public opinion polls, and media coverage. He uses a unique predictive model to analyze and predict election outcomes based on these factors.1. Assume that for a particular campaign, Alex's model considers three variables: ( S ) (the average sentiment score of candidate speeches), ( P ) (the average approval percentage from public opinion polls), and ( M ) (the media coverage score, which is a weighted average of positive, neutral, and negative media mentions). The predictive model is represented by the function: [ E(S, P, M) = a cdot ln(S + 1) + b cdot sqrt{P} + c cdot M ] where ( a ), ( b ), and ( c ) are constants specific to the campaign context. Given that the historical data shows that when ( E(S, P, M) = 50 ), the candidate wins with high certainty, find the partial derivatives (frac{partial E}{partial S}), (frac{partial E}{partial P}), and (frac{partial E}{partial M}) at the point where ( S = 10 ), ( P = 64 ), and ( M = 30 ).2. After analyzing several campaigns, Alex notices that the variance in the predicted election outcomes, ( sigma^2 ), depends on the variability of the three variables ( S ), ( P ), and ( M ). The variance can be modeled as: [ sigma^2 = k cdot (Var(S) + Var(P) + Var(M)) + 2 cdot Cov(S, P) - Cov(P, M) ] where ( k ) is a proportionality constant, ( Var ) denotes the variance of a variable, and ( Cov ) denotes the covariance between two variables. Given that ( Var(S) = 4 ), ( Var(P) = 9 ), ( Var(M) = 16 ), ( Cov(S, P) = 2 ), and ( Cov(P, M) = 3 ), determine the value of ( k ) such that ( sigma^2 = 50 ).
🧠:<think>Alright, so I've got these two math problems here about Alex, the political reporter, and his predictive model for election outcomes. Let me try to wrap my head around them step by step.Starting with the first problem. It says that Alex uses a function E(S, P, M) which is a combination of three variables: S, P, and M. The function is given as:E(S, P, M) = a·ln(S + 1) + b·sqrt(P) + c·MAnd we need to find the partial derivatives of E with respect to S, P, and M at specific points: S=10, P=64, M=30.Okay, partial derivatives. I remember that partial derivatives are about how E changes when we change one variable while keeping the others constant. So, for each variable, I need to differentiate E with respect to that variable.Let me recall the differentiation rules. For ln(S + 1), the derivative with respect to S is 1/(S + 1). For sqrt(P), which is P^(1/2), the derivative with respect to P is (1/2)P^(-1/2), which is 1/(2*sqrt(P)). And for c·M, the derivative with respect to M is just c, since it's a linear term.So, putting that together:Partial derivative of E with respect to S is a·(1/(S + 1)).Partial derivative with respect to P is b·(1/(2*sqrt(P))).Partial derivative with respect to M is c.Now, we need to evaluate these at S=10, P=64, M=30.So, plugging in the values:For ∂E/∂S: a/(10 + 1) = a/11.For ∂E/∂P: b/(2*sqrt(64)) = b/(2*8) = b/16.For ∂E/∂M: c.Wait, but the problem doesn't give us the values of a, b, c. Hmm. It just says they are constants specific to the campaign. So, maybe we don't need their numerical values? Or perhaps there's more information I'm missing.Looking back, the problem mentions that when E(S, P, M) = 50, the candidate wins with high certainty. But it doesn't give us specific values for a, b, c or any other conditions to solve for them. So, maybe the partial derivatives are just expressed in terms of a, b, c? Or perhaps we need to find them in terms of the given point.Wait, no, the question is just to find the partial derivatives at the point S=10, P=64, M=30. So, even though a, b, c are constants, we can express the partial derivatives in terms of a, b, c. So, the answers would be a/11, b/16, and c respectively.But let me double-check. The function is E(S, P, M) = a·ln(S + 1) + b·sqrt(P) + c·M. So, yes, the partial derivatives are as I thought.So, to summarize:∂E/∂S = a/(S + 1) → a/11 at S=10.∂E/∂P = b/(2*sqrt(P)) → b/16 at P=64.∂E/∂M = c.So, that's the first part done.Moving on to the second problem. It says that the variance in the predicted election outcomes, σ², depends on the variability of S, P, M. The model is given as:σ² = k·(Var(S) + Var(P) + Var(M)) + 2·Cov(S, P) - Cov(P, M)We are given Var(S)=4, Var(P)=9, Var(M)=16, Cov(S, P)=2, Cov(P, M)=3, and σ²=50. We need to find the value of k.Alright, so let's plug in the given values into the equation.First, compute Var(S) + Var(P) + Var(M) = 4 + 9 + 16 = 29.Then, 2·Cov(S, P) = 2*2 = 4.And -Cov(P, M) = -3.So, putting it all together:σ² = k*29 + 4 - 3 = k*29 + 1.We know σ² is 50, so:50 = 29k + 1Subtract 1 from both sides:49 = 29kDivide both sides by 29:k = 49/29.Hmm, 49 divided by 29 is approximately 1.6897, but since they probably want an exact value, it's 49/29.Let me double-check my calculations.Var(S) = 4, Var(P)=9, Var(M)=16. Adding those up: 4 + 9 is 13, plus 16 is 29. Correct.2·Cov(S, P) = 2*2=4. Correct.-Cov(P, M) = -3. Correct.So, 29k + 4 - 3 = 29k +1. Yes.Set equal to 50: 29k +1 = 50 → 29k=49 → k=49/29. Yep, that seems right.So, k is 49/29.Wait, 49 and 29 are both primes? 29 is prime, 49 is 7². So, the fraction can't be reduced further. So, 49/29 is the answer.Alright, so I think I've got both parts figured out.Final Answer1. The partial derivatives are (boxed{dfrac{a}{11}}), (boxed{dfrac{b}{16}}), and (boxed{c}).2. The value of (k) is (boxed{dfrac{49}{29}}).</think>